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Math Help - Probability

  1. #1
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    Probability

    In the World Series (baseball), the first team to win 4 games wins the series. History shows there have been 42 occasions when a team had a lead of 3 games to 1. In this situation, the team with the lead went on to win the series 36 times. What is your best estimate of the probability that the team in the lead wins any particular game (assume the outcomes of all games are independent and that the win probabilties don’t change).
    I'm finding difficulty approaching this problem. any help will be appreciated.
    Last edited by mr fantastic; December 10th 2008 at 11:46 AM. Reason: Question deleted by OP - Original question restored
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  2. #2
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    Quote Originally Posted by ace28 View Post
    In the World Series (baseball), the first team to win 4 games wins the series. History shows there have been 42 occasions when a team had a lead of 3 games to 1. In this situation, the team with the lead went on to win the series 36 times. What is your best estimate of the probability that the team in the lead wins any particular game (assume the outcomes of all games are independent and that the win probabilties donít change).
    I'm finding difficulty approaching this problem. any help will be appreciated.
    Can a baseball game end in a draw?

    CB
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  3. #3
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    No, Draw is ruled out.
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  4. #4
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    Quote Originally Posted by ace28 View Post
    In the World Series (baseball), the first team to win 4 games wins the series. History shows there have been 42 occasions when a team had a lead of 3 games to 1. In this situation, the team with the lead went on to win the series 36 times. What is your best estimate of the probability that the team in the lead wins any particular game (assume the outcomes of all games are independent and that the win probabilties donít change).
    I'm finding difficulty approaching this problem. any help will be appreciated.
    Thread closed unitil OP provides satisfactory reason why s/he deleted the question.
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