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Math Help - Are probabilities static

  1. #1
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    Question Are probabilities static

    First let me apologize for my ignorance, what i mean is i am not even sure if i am wording the question properly and my math is, um.. ..average at best.
    Second let me apologize for repeating a thread, or placing it in the wrong place, there are so many.
    Lastly let me apologize for any social or grammatical errors not covered in the first 2 apologies.

    Ok, I wanted to know if probabilities can increase or decrease over time. Assuming i am using an honest 4 sided dice. If i roll it once and it results in a 1, will rolling the same dice again with no environmental changes result in the same probability of yielding a 1. And then if i roll it again, and so-on and so-on, will the probability of rolling a 1 stay the same every time.
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  2. #2
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    Re: Are probabilities static

    This not a reply but a question about the OP.
    What is a four sided die?
    I have seen that three times lately.
    But I have no idea what it means.
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  3. #3
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    Re: Are probabilities static

    It is shaped like a pyramid, i use it in Dungeons and Dragons.

    The discussion i was in started with a 4 sided die, but i would have used it in my question regardless because the beginning math was easy for me, you know 25% and whatnot.
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  4. #4
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    Re: Are probabilities static

    Quote Originally Posted by really View Post
    It is shaped like a pyramid, i use it in Dungeons and Dragons.
    Thanks for the reply.
    Are they are numbered \{1,2,3,4\}~?
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  5. #5
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    Re: Are probabilities static

    Yes sir.
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  6. #6
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    Re: Are probabilities static

    Quote Originally Posted by really View Post
    Yes sir.
    Thank you for the information. I will use it next time.
    There is really not way to answer your OQ.
    I know of no studies to indicate that any dice change over time.
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  7. #7
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    Re: Are probabilities static

    I did a little research off site and I am a little confused. My initial research lead me to something called Gambler's Fallacy. Which stated that the idea that a given result is "due" based on the previous results of an event is not true, because the results are independent of one another.

    Then I googled independent probabilities and found that if multiple events occur at the same time the probability of a singular result drops.

    In the example above if i rolled two 4 sided dice at the same time the probability of the same number appearing on each dice diminishes. Why wouldn't it be 25%, and if it does work that way, why wouldn't gamblers fallacy be gamblers rule?

    I'm sorry if I am wasting your time, I am just trying to better understand what is going on with the math.
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