im pretty sure thats impossible with the information provided.
say i know the probability of < 25.5 successes is 45% for event 1
and the probability of < 3.5 successes is 60% for event 2.
how can i calculate prob of < 29 successes for event 1+2
how would i calculate prob of < 25 successes for event 1+2.
sorry if i'm asking a stupid question. is it even possible with this info?
yea, i get ya. the problem is the data is a pain to scrape and maintain.... often sample sizes r small and there r a bunch of variables that may affect the outcome. the latter is psuedo-science, in that u can never know all the factors. (what time did they go to bed? did they get laid?)
what i was hoping for was a time-saving-best-approximate. mean is not enough but if i had a median as well could i perhaps approach an approximate? really i give myself about 4% before i even consider a wager, then i'll look deeper into the price. but i need to evaluate 100 of these in an hour or 2 to make it really worth my while. speed > accuracy. i bet the max so i don't have to quantify too accurately my edge, just need to know that i have 1.
so how does this site work? u thank some1 and a donation box comes up.... is this for the site, not the helper, right? i'm leaning towards getting this done properly and paying for the scraping/maths.
any ideas about where i can find good hired stats help? also what would be the going rate for a russian/asian prof as opposed to a western 1? the problem that i have is that i consider the info as fairly valuable, soooo i was hoping to find some1 who may be interested in the information and how to use it. IMO, this is many times more valuable than what i am prepared to pay for the work.
maybe the best thing to do is go to my local university and find a stats student.
thanks for any feedback