Probability Of Finding The Exact Order Of Children

Printable View

May 17th 2011, 05:14 AM
adambro

Probability Of Finding The Exact Order Of Children

How would you find the probability of getting the exact order of something? A couple wants to have four children. The only way they want to have those children though is if their first born is a girl and their last child born is a boy, with the gender of the two middle children not mattering. What is the probability of them having a girl first and a boy last happening?
May 17th 2011, 05:39 AM
emakarov

Have you tried calculating the number of suitable sequences of four G's and B's as well as the number of all possible such sequences? Each suitable sequence has the form G..B with two elements in the middle.
May 17th 2011, 06:07 AM
adambro

Still Confused

Quote:

Originally Posted by emakarov

Have you tried calculating the number of suitable sequences of four G's and B's as well as the number of all possible such sequences? Each suitable sequence has the form G..B with two elements in the middle.

No I have not and for this problem order matters so how would you solve it?
May 17th 2011, 06:23 AM
TheEmptySet

Quote:

Originally Posted by adambro

No I have not and for this problem order matters so how would you solve it?

I think you misunderstood emakarov hint!

They said fix the first elem as G and the last element as B this gives the string

$G,\_\_\_,\_\_\_,B$

Now remember that G and B are fixed. So how many 4 letter strings can you make that start with G and end with B?
May 17th 2011, 06:23 AM
Plato

Quote:

Originally Posted by adambro

No I have not and for this problem order matters so how would you solve it?

$\begin{array}{*{20}c} B & B & B & B \\ B & B & B & G \\ B & B & G & B \\ B & B & G & G \\ B & G & B & B \\ B & G & B & G \\ B & G & G & B \\ B & G & G & G \\ G & B & B & B \\ G & B & B & G \\ G & B & G & B \\ G & B & G & G \\ G & G & B & B \\ G & G & B & G \\ G & G & G & B \\ G & G & G & G \\ \end{array}$
There are all possible strings.
Now count the favorable cases.
May 17th 2011, 06:42 AM
adambro

Quote:

Originally Posted by Plato

$\begin{array}{*{20}c} B & B & B & B \\ B & B & B & G \\ B & B & G & B \\ B & B & G & G \\ B & G & B & B \\ B & G & B & G \\ B & G & G & B \\ B & G & G & G \\ G & B & B & B \\ G & B & B & G \\ G & B & G & B \\ G & B & G & G \\ G & G & B & B \\ G & G & B & G \\ G & G & G & B \\ G & G & G & G \\ \end{array}$
There are all possible strings.
Now count the favorable cases.

So would it be 4/16 or .25 or 25% or is there more I need to do?
May 17th 2011, 06:48 AM
emakarov

Quote:

So would it be 4/16 or .25 or 25%

Yes.
May 17th 2011, 06:51 AM
adambro

Quote:

Originally Posted by emakarov

Yes.

Sweet thanks so much