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Math Help - I need statistics help for a political/sociological debate.

  1. #1
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    I need statistics help for a political/sociological debate.

    Hi-

    Brand new here, and I hope I'm posting in the right thread!! I took statistics in college many years ago, but of course forgot all of it. But I believe there is a relatively simple way to settle a debate I'm having with a friend.

    My friend has watched the youtube "muslims are going to take over the us in 50 yrs" video. I have not seen it, but I know what it is. And it has been disproved all over the place. I was hoping to get help with some basic calculations for myself. Part of me knows I shouldn't even bother, but I can't seem to help myself

    The current percentage of christians in the US is 78.4%. The current percentage of Muslims is 0.6%. He claims that based on a French birthrate of Muslims - 7.1% to Christians - 1.2%, in 2 generations (I assume that means 25 or 30 yrs), the Muslims will have taken over the US.

    This does not make mathematical sense to me. So, the info I will be collecting is:

    - current population of christians and muslims in the US
    - the current birthrate of both populations
    - I think the conversion rate belongs in here somewhere

    And then I'm hoping there is a calculation to put it all together, showing the #'s of both these populations, and how they would grow over time. I just don't know how to do it.

    Thanks in advance for any help!!

    Debby
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  2. #2
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    I am curious as to who you are counting as "Christians". I don't believe that Christians have ever constituted more than 50% of the population of the United States (the fact that a person does not call himself "Jewish" or "Muslim" or "Hindu", etc. does NOT make him a Christian). Most of the people in the United states are Atheists, Agnostics, or Deists.
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  3. #3
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    Hi-

    Thanks for responding. I got the info from the CIA "world factbook" website. They have it listed as 51% protestant, 24% catholic and 1.6% other christian.

    https://www.cia.gov/library/publicat...k/geos/us.html

    I actually belong to none of these. Mathematically, his whole argument just didn't make sense to me.

    Thanks!!

    Debby
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