The news here keeps showing stories of murders in the city. My GF is getting freaked out. I'm trying to calculate the odds of being murdered and compare it to regular events (like win lottery, etc). I’m totally confused. This is what I know
city population this year= 2,116,581
# of murders this year = 117
Is this how I solve?:
117 / 2,116,581 = 0.0000552778
1 - 0.0000552778 = 99.9944722172
So, can I say there is a 1 in 17,000 chance of being murdered?
I have no training in this stuff, so any help is greatly appreciated.