Hi All,

I have a probability problem that I've chased around until I'm sick of looking at it. Here goes.

The incidence of a disease is .012. A test, with sensitivity = .86, and specificity =.88. Giben a positive test result, what is the probability that the test taker has the disease.

The solution, that I can't get to, is 8%.

While I'm not sure I've dine anything right, I am sure that I'm having some trouble applying the specificity and sensitivity.

Thanks for lookin in!