Thread: Raffle Probability

I'm entered in a raffle with my friends and we're trying to find out our chance of winning. We have six tickets and there are 20 total tickets for the three prizes. The first drawing will take place and the winning ticket will be put aside, then the second drawing will take place with the winning ticket put aside and so on. What is our chances of winning one of the prizes?

Hello deathfromabove

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Originally Posted by deathfromabove

I'm entered in a raffle with my friends and we're trying to find out our chance of winning. We have six tickets and there are 20 total tickets for the three prizes. The first drawing will take place and the winning ticket will be put aside, then the second drawing will take place with the winning ticket put aside and so on. What is our chances of winning one of the prizes?

I'm assuming that the question means: what is the probability that we win at least one prize? In which case, we find the probability that we don't win any prizes, and subtract this from .

So, when the first ticket is drawn, there are losing tickets out of . The probability that one of these is chosen is

If we don't win on this draw, then there are then losing tickets out of the remaining. So the probability that one of these is chosen is

Similarly the probability that the third one chosen also loses is

So the probability that we don't win at all is:

Therefore the probability that we win at least one prize is

Grandad