Thread: probleming solving technique confirmation

i was doing these questions for probability and stats and i was wondering why the answers using two different methods dont match.
i'll illustrate with examples
Tree Diagrams (with worked solutions & videos)

in the last two questions they use the outcome approach but if i attempt them using the probabilities of the branches i get the same answers.

here's another question that i shortened just to illustrate


Bag A contains 10 marbles of which 2 are read and 8 are black. Bag B contains 12 marbles of which 4 are red and 8 are black. A marble is drawn at random from each bag. Find the probability that both are red.


for the above question using the outcome approach when the diagram is limited to 2 draws only.. i.e is a total of 4 outcomes.. my answer is 0.25
but if i used the probabilities listed on the tree diagram my answer would be
and these so dont match.

so um.. what am i missing. could someone clarify the situation.
is it because all the numbers or objects are not used here?

Originally Posted by frixis

Bag A contains 10 marbles of which 2 are read and 8 are black. Bag B contains 12 marbles of which 4 are red and 8 are black. A marble is drawn at random from each bag. Find the probability that both are red.

Hi!

You have two different bags. You are to draw a ball from each of them. When you draw a ball from Bag A, it doesnt in any way affect the balls in Bag B. The probability of drawing a red ball from Bag A is independent of what you have drawn from Bag B and vice versa.

Hence, the only way you can get two red balls is when you draw a red ball from Bag A and then from bag B (order is irrelevant).