if the probability of winning a point is p, what is the probability of winning a tennis game under the "no-ad" scoring? (The first player who wins four points wins the game.) Thanks~

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- Aug 30th 2009, 07:01 PMuglingprobability of winning a no-ad tennis game
if the probability of winning a point is p, what is the probability of winning a tennis game under the "no-ad" scoring? (The first player who wins four points wins the game.) Thanks~

- Aug 30th 2009, 08:48 PMmatheagle
Does that mean you can win the game 4-3?

I once solved a math monthly that asked to maximize teams winning a 7 games series.

This is the same idea. First to four wins.

Then I did calculus to show a max wrt p.

You just need to go through the possibilities.

since the loss can come in any game EXCEPT the fifth game (geometric)

since the loss can come in any game EXCEPT the sixth game (neg binomial)

we need that here

since the loss can come in any game EXCEPT the sixth game (neg binomial)

we need that as a coefficient in this one.

Now, add these, since they are mutually exclusive. - Aug 30th 2009, 09:54 PMuglingthank you~
I think your answer is the right one~(Clapping)

- Aug 30th 2009, 10:11 PMmatheagle
was there a contest here?