Originally Posted by

**kahlmy_ishmael_xxiii** This is a **football betting question **in which the hoped deliverable would be** a formula where 3 variables are plugged in** and a result is produced.

If one is betting a football game and one assumes one's self to be **53.5% proficient **at **picking winners **against the **11/10 vigorish (0.91**) the bookie charges(52.38% winners needed to break even)....

...then the formula would be:

53.5% - (46.5% /0.91) = 2.35% of one's bankroll should be bet on every play.

..but NOW sportsbooks offer better odds(some at 21/20 vig(0.95)...some at other ratios).

My question __is an extension of __what Ken Uston discussed in his textbook on Blackjack Card Counting.

Uston discussed the card-counting player that was enjoying a 1.5% edge over the house in Blackjack(and betting 1.5% on each hand).....

...could increase that amount by a small fraction if he played 2, 3, or 4 hands against** the same **dealer's upcard(simultaneous Kelly betting events)...

...and then he provided the reader with the allowable percentage increase over that 1.5% bet.....

for example...spreading to __two hands __one would MULTIPLY the $150 bet for a $10,000 bank by __1.15__

$150 * 1.15 would be $172(**2 bets **of $86 __each__)

FOR **3 BETS **THE MULTIPLE would be __1.21__

$150 * 1.21 = $181.5..... **3 bets **of $60.50 __each__

__TRANSLATING TO FOOTBALL WAGERING__

For simplicity's sake.... all picks bet simultaneously have the **SAME** probability of winning

Variable "X" would then be the probality of winning.

Variable "Y" would be the number of betting events being wagered simultaneously

Variable "Z" would be the differing VIGORISH extracted by the bookie,e.g....

-110(0.91)

-107(0.93)

-105(0.95)

The result of the equation would then presumably provide how much to wager on each bet OR provide the multiple.

Thank you....

If you'd like attribution by your **username** or **real name**, please mention it... because this is going to be posted on about 6 sports forums.

Thank you,

kahlmy_ishmael_xxiii