Sample question

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August 26th 2006, 10:46 AM
andy_atw

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Sample question

I have been away from math for a while. I appreciate the help here tremendously.

the problem: In manufacturing, a sample of 4 items from a lot of 100 is taken.
The lot is rejected if at least 1 is defective.
Graph the probability that the lot is accepted as a function of the percentage of defective items in the lot.

I included an attachment that tries to explain my thought process on the attached problem. I am completely stuck like chuck on the graph also.

If the attachment doesn't work I saved it to a link also.

thanks in advance.

Andy

http://www.orbitfiles.com/download/id791674014
August 26th 2006, 12:29 PM
JakeD

Quote:

Originally Posted by andy_atw

the problem: In manufacturing, a sample of 4 items from a lot of 100 is taken.
The lot is rejected if at least 1 is defective.
Graph the probability that the lot is accepted as a function of the percentage of defective items in the lot.

A lot is accepted if none are defective. So the probability is $P(\text{accepted}) = P(4\ \text{not\ de{f}ective}) = (1 - k/100)^4 .$
August 26th 2006, 03:07 PM
andy_atw

explain

Jake...I have been pondering the problem for a while now, and I am not grasping the logic in determining the answer. please explain further. thanks
August 26th 2006, 05:29 PM
JakeD

Quote:

Originally Posted by andy_atw

Jake...I have been pondering the problem for a while now, and I am not grasping the logic in determining the answer. please explain further. thanks

Arghh, you're right. Sorry about that. I used a sample with replacement. This should be a sample without replacement.

So using the hypergeometric distribution the probability of no defectives is $\frac{{k \choose 0}{100-k \choose 4}}{{100 \choose 4}} = \frac{{100-k \choose 4}}{{100 \choose 4}}.$ This is the number of ways of choosing 4 out of 100-k nondefectives over the number of ways of choosing 4 out of 100.