# here's a tough one for you

• June 2nd 2008, 06:04 PM
lizzi583
here's a tough one for you
An author has used Bayes’ Formula to determine the probability of God, given there is evidence of God : P(god│evidence of god). To determine this probability, you will need to subjectively estimate the following probabilities:

P (god) = _____

P(no god) = 1 – P(god) = ______

P (evidence of god │god) = ________

P (evidence of god │no god) = _________

Only God knows the right answer -- since these are all subjective probabilities.

Note: P (god) should neither be 1 (certainty of god) nor “0” (certainty of atheism) since neither of these two extremes have been proven (by theologians and/or scientists). A true agnostic would handle it this way: P (god) = P (no god) = .5 But suit yourself; these are your subjective probabilities.
• June 3rd 2008, 07:23 AM
frenzy
Quote:

Originally Posted by lizzi583
An author has used Bayes’ Formula to determine the probability of God, given there is evidence of God : P(god│evidence of god). To determine this probability, you will need to subjectively estimate the following probabilities:

P (god) = _____

P(no god) = 1 – P(god) = ______

P (evidence of god │god) = ________

P (evidence of god │no god) = _________

Only God knows the right answer -- since these are all subjective probabilities.

Note: P (god) should neither be 1 (certainty of god) nor “0” (certainty of atheism) since neither of these two extremes have been proven (by theologians and/or scientists). A true agnostic would handle it this way: P (god) = P (no god) = .5 But suit yourself; these are your subjective probabilities.

$P($god $)=\varepsilon$