1. ## another probability problem

the problem is
it is election season in America and Obama and Hillary are competing for the democratic nomination and the voter are always honest about which candidate they have voted. what is true

a- when individual claims to have voted for Hillary ,there is at most .99 probabilty that they really voted for Hillary and

b- if individual voted for Hillary , they alway tell the truth that they voted for her and that

c- if person voted for Obama then they claims to have voted for Obama with probability .99

based on the info in this question, who is going to win the democratic nomination?

2. Originally Posted by spywx
the problem is
it is election season in America and Obama and Hillary are competing for the democratic nomination and the voter are always honest about which candidate they have voted. what is true

a- when individual claims to have voted for Hillary ,there is at most .99 probabilty that they really voted for Hillary and

b- if individual voted for Hillary , they alway tell the truth that they voted for her and that

c- if person voted for Obama then they claims to have voted for Obama with probability .99

based on the info in this question, who is going to win the democratic nomination?
As voters are always honest, only b can be true.

There is no information in this question pertaining to who will or might will the nomination.

RonL

3. so how about if the voters are not always honest ?

4. Originally Posted by spywx
so how about if the voters are not always honest ?
Are you changing the condition in the question?

It still will not allow any statement about who will or is more likely to win>

RonL

5. yes i changed the condition in the question, but how come even if the condition is different the answer is the same ?.Also which of a,b or c do you think is true ?. btw the condition is " the voters are not always honest "