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Thread: Bayes theorem problem

  1. #1
    Junior Member
    Aug 2007

    Bayes theorem problem

    Can anybody help with this question? :
    A photographer works part-time in a shopping center, two hours per day, four days per week. On the average, six customers arrive each hour, and the arrivals appear to occur independently of one another. Twenty minutes after she arrives one day, the photographer wonders what the chances are that exactly one customer will arrive during the next 15 minutes. Find this probability: (i) if two customers just arrived within the first 20 minutes and (ii) if no customers have come into the shop yet on this particular day.
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  2. #2
    Oct 2007
    If each arrival is stochastically independent from the other, then we would be dealing with:
    P(A|B) = P(A)

    I think the answer is the same for both parts (use poisson distro)
    Last edited by chopet; Nov 30th 2007 at 08:23 PM.
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