Thread: basketball odds

unknown probability that a basketball player makes a shot.

Prior on ~

The player makes two independent shots in a row.

What is the posterior density of
Estimate the probability of making a third shot.

Originally Posted by Anonymous1

unknown probability that a basketball player makes a shot.

Prior on ~

The player makes two independent shots in a row.

What is the posterior density of
Estimate the probability of making a third shot.

Start by writting out Bayes' formula for the posterior density of .

CB