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Math Help - basketball odds

  1. #1
    Super Member Anonymous1's Avatar
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    basketball odds

    \theta= unknown probability that a basketball player makes a shot.

    Prior on \theta ~ Uniform(0,1).

    The player makes two independent shots in a row.

    a. What is the posterior density of \theta?
    b. Estimate the probability of making a third shot.
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  2. #2
    Grand Panjandrum
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    Quote Originally Posted by Anonymous1 View Post
    \theta= unknown probability that a basketball player makes a shot.

    Prior on \theta ~ Uniform(0,1).

    The player makes two independent shots in a row.

    a. What is the posterior density of \theta?
    b. Estimate the probability of making a third shot.
    Start by writting out Bayes' formula for the posterior density of \theta.

    CB
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